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Guimaraes vs Jeunesse Esch Prediction 1 August 2019

Guimaraes vs Jeunesse Esch Prediction 1 August 2019

Guimaraes hosts Jeunesse Esch in the second leg of the Europa League qualification quarterfinals. The match will be played on Thursday, August 1st at Estádio D. Afonso Henriques (Guimarães)

Guimaraes started this season with a victory. Yes, the Portuguese scored a goal at the end of the meeting, but they generally played quite well as for the official match. At home, Vitoria will most likely play more actively in the attack, especially since the team is much better at home. Last season, for example, Guimaraes gained almost 2 times more points in the championship home matches than it did outside the home arena (34 vs. 18). Herewith, Vitoria conceded only 12 goals in 17 home games.

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Before the whistle, Jeunesse conceded an annoying goal, which did not allow the team to grind a draw. However, the Luxembourgers didn’t deserve this draw. Yes, they defended quite well, but their rival mostly missed its attempts. We can only admit the goalkeeper, who saved his team from an inevitable goal twice. As for the Luxembourgers themselves, they did not create anything dangerous in the attack.

Jeunesse played in the home arena modestly, having managed to deliver only 3 shots on the opponent's goal. I doubt that the team from Luxembourg will play more aggressively away:  it will simply not be allowed to do this. Therefore, I do not expect the goals of Jeunesse in the upcoming meeting. But the hosts are quite capable of scoring 2-3 goals. Even in the away match, Vitoria significantly outnumbered its opponent in terms of statistics; at home, Guimaraes played even better. Last season, for example, Vitoria took points in home matches against Braga and Porto and beat Sporting. The team regularly gained 3 points with the middle-class teams and outsiders of the Portuguese championship. And Jeunesse, in turn, is inferior in class even to the clubs that have relegated from Primeira Liga. It is also worth noting that Guimaraes performed quite well in friendly games: it earned 3 wins in 4 matches and scored 7 goals. I do not think that the Luxembourgers will avoid defeat, given that Zheness allowed shooting his goalkeeper from any position even at home.

Prediction for the match: Guimaraes to win with -2.0 handicap

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Sam Wilson
Sports tipster