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Girona vs Atletico Madrid Prediction 9 January 2019

Girona vs Atletico Madrid Prediction 9 January 2019

Girona welcome the visitors Atletico Madrid in the Spanish Copa del Rey – 1/8 Finals. The match will be held on Wednesday, January 9th, at the Estadio Municipal de Montilivi (Girona).

Girona are not very blistering in this campaign, same as in the last one, actually. But the team play more confident in their defense now. In the last year La Liga fixtures, they allowed 59 goals, which is 1.55 goals per game on average. In the present tournament, Girona feature only 22 missed goals, i.e. 1.22 goals per game. The progress is obvious, though, there are certain consequences. Girona started to score less – they count only 20 made goals in 18 La Liga rounds.

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Over 5 years, Atletico Madrid boast one of the most secure defensive lines in Europe. This campaign, they allowed only 13 goals in 18 rounds – the league’s best record. Simeone’s men played ‘to nil’ in the previous Copa del Rey stages, and in the Champions League matches, they allowed 4 of total 6 goals in the outing against Borussia Dortmund, i.e. their defense is leaking very rarely. The team’s attack is not great – in their La Liga run, the guests made only 26 goals, compare, for example, Barcelona’s 52 goals scored.

Both Wednesday opponents mostly feature underscoring games. 11 of 18 Girona’s La Liga clashes produced under 2.5 goals, Atletico were underscoring in 14 rounds. Not surprisingly, the hosts make and allow 2.3 goals per match on average, the visitors do 2.2. That said, Atletico made over 1 goal in just 3 of 13 official away encounters, Girona were effective at home only against the teams below top-ten in the league. In 3 previous home rounds, Girona netted only twice. In this campaign, the sides have already met. The match did not produce 2.5 goals; no entertainment is expected tomorrow either.

Prediction for the match: Under 2.5 goals.

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Sam Wilson
Sports tipster