Fiorentina hosts SPAL in round 19 of Italian Serie A. The match will be played on Sunday, January 12th at Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence)
Again, like last year, Fiorentina had problems after the start. The team of Iachini has not been able to win for eight rounds in a row. And this is primarily due to the decline in scoring. If the Violets often sent two goals or more into the opponents’ net at the start of the season, in the last matches they hardly manage to breach the defense. Yes, the opponents were not easy, but Fiorentina's game in the attack was still not impressive. In general, the team scored only four goals in its last six matches. And with such statistics, it is hardly worth waiting for goal extravaganza.
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If Fiorentina’s problems in attack arose in recent months, Spal has difficulties with creating and converting its attempts throughout the season. One of the reasons for the decline in productivity is the departure of Lazzari, who was never replaced worthily. As a result, this season the Blue and Whites scored much less, periodically gaining positive results only due to the skill of Petagna. SPAL scored only four goals in nine away matches. And it did not succeed in scoring in six of those meetings.
I believe that the Violets will not lose in their arena. It’s trite, but they are significantly superior to their opponent in terms of skills. Even though the recent opponents were not easy, Fiorentina earned points with Inter and almost took the victory from Bologna. SPAL, which gained just one victory in nine away matches, will hardly improve its statistics in Florence. Before the game with Torino, the Blue and Whites had only one point scored away. And in a match with the Bulls, they got the first away victory thanks to the numerical advantage. Fiorentina lost mainly to strong rivals, and it is quite capable of coping with the worst team of Serie A. Given the above, I’ll bet on the combination of 1X + Under 3.5 goals scored. This bet took place in previous matches of teams in Florence, as well as in five of nine Fiorentina's home games and seven away matches of SPAL.
Prediction for the match: Fiorentina to win with +0.5 handicap and Under 3.5 goals scored