Everton hosts Southampton in round 34 of the English Premier League. The match will be played on Thursday, July 9th at Goodison Park (Liverpool)
Everton looked faded in the away match against Tottenham and therefore deservedly lost (1:0), but under Ancelotti, the Toffees repeatedly reacted to the failed performances with very strong ones. The Italian coach can add the absence of home defeats to his asset. Everton earned points in each of the last nine matches at Goodison Park and won in five of them. It beat Leicester and Chelsea, not to mention Crystal Palace and Burnley, which are Southampton's neighbors in the standings. It is an impressive streak without setbacks. Before losing to the Spurs away, Everton did not lose to anyone in the summer part of the championship. The Toffees even tied with Liverpool (0:0), which had not yet drawn up the title at that time. Fresh injuries of Iwobi and Holgate somewhat limit the choice, but Walcott is ready to return to the field, and Sidibé and Richarlison recovered.
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The older players of Southampton gained two wins in a row, including in a game against Man City, which broke local records for television broadcasts. And although the victory did not follow from the logic of what was happening (the Citizens gained 3.4 xG, but their rivals had a fixture of only 0.63 and scored after a long shot), it must be understood that Hazenhüttl’s men lack the margin of safety necessary to arrange the long winning streaks. They have not won in three rounds in a row since distant 2016. I am very surprised by the fact that Southampton gained six victories in eight previous away matches of the Premier League. It’s too much, as for the middle peasant, who almost flew to the Championship in the last draw and won only four out of 19 away games. The misfire is brewing, and the absence of Hojbjerg, Djenepo, Valery, Vestergaard and Boufal (potential players of the starting lineup) will contribute to it.
The tournament motivation of teams that no longer solve serious tasks this season can be interpreted as equivalent. The difference lies in the fact that Everton is not going to stop and is planning a grandiose project, more precisely - the acquisition of star players to perform serious tasks. All current players of the Toffees are extremely motivated to keep their place in the club with solid prospects. Southampton, by contrast, doesn’t have Napoleonic ambitions. This means that the hosts can try a little more. The trend illustrates the historical superiority of Everton, which at least did not lose in all 14 previous matches against Southampton in the home arena. And this trend seems to retain its relevance.
Prediction for the match: Everton to win with +0.5 handicap and Over 1.5 goals scored