Crystal Palace hosts Arsenal in round 22 of the English Premier League. The match will be played on Saturday, January 11th at Selhurst Park (London)
Crystal Palace has one of the best defenses in the Premier League. In 21 rounds, the Eagles conceded only 23 goals (only Liverpool and Leicester have better fixtures). Hodgson’s men are particularly successful in defending at home, conceding only one goal per game, on average. Despite significant losses in the defense, Crystal Palace did not fail and worked reliably in defense even in recent matches. In general, if you take into account all the matches of the first half of the season, the Eagles failed in defense only in a game with Tottenham.
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Arteta said that he would establish a game in defense. It is difficult to evaluate his work so far, but there are positive changes. The Gunners defended very well in the match with Chelsea. Yes, they conceded two goals, but their opponent intensified too much after the break. Obviously, Crystal Palace will not be able to arrange the same attack on the net of Arsenal. In a match with Manchester United, the Gunners even kept a clean sheet, having managed to close the approaches to their penalty area. That is, Arteta is moving in the right direction and is sticking to his word for now. His men begin to add in defense.
Currently, Arsenal is changing its style and is becoming a more pragmatic team. As for Crystal Palace, they do not disdain to dry the game, using their strengths. In this case, we shouldn’t wait for three goals and more. The visitors will try to lure the opponent. And with a high degree of probability, we can say that the game will get stuck in the center of the field. In general, statistics are in favor of Under 3.0 goals scored. Crystal Palace is one of the most low-scoring teams of the Premier League. The Eagles have only 19 goals scored (only Watford has a worse fixture). In the last eight matches, Hodgson’s men managed to score two goals only once, and they did not manage to score at all in three games. Arsenal under Arteta also does not impress with the game in attack. The Gunners scored only five goals in their last four games. In general, they have not been shining with effectiveness since November. Finally, Under 2.5 goals scored took place in six of Arsenal's ten away matches and eight home matches of Crystal Palace. Under 3.5 goal scored was recorded in all 10 home games of the Eagles. I do not think that the streak will be broken and we will see a goal feast in the derby.
Prediction for the match: Under 3.0 goals scored