Brighton take on the visitors Cardiff in the round 31 match of English Premier League. The match will be played on Tuesday, April 16th at Amex Stadium (Brighton).
It seemed that Brighton was 100% saved from relegation batlle, but a series of nightmarish results returned The Gulls to a nervous struggle for survival. After losing 4 matches in a row without a single goal scored, Houghton's players now in risk of leaving the Premier League. The situation is still far from critical (5 points from Cardiff, which opens the relegation zone, plus the game in reserve), but it can get worse, because ahead are Tottenham, Arsenal and Wolverhampton, and also Man City. After losing at home to Cardiff, his direct competitor, Brighton will put himself in a very unpleasant position. Brighton rescued home results last season, but now they are far from pleasant - only 1 win in the last 6 games, and that over the unconditionally worst Huddersfield. The rest is 1 draw and 4 defeats. On Saturday, the Gulls were crushed by Bournemouth (5: 0), which is now not in the best shape. It is clear that the removal of Nokara failed, however, it happened already at 2: 0 in favor of the opponent. Now Nokar, the team’s chief creative officer, will be absent along with injured midfielders Gross and March. Therefore, the middle line of the owners will be extremely weak.
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Brighton, who won only 3 out of 10 matches against the bottom seven, in its current form does not deserve the status of such an obvious favorite (2.02). Especially since 2 of these 3 victories were won over Huddersfield. Gulls do not know how to play the first number, and Cardiff is not as bad as his latest results. Yes, the Welsh lost 6 of the last 7 games in the Premier League, but they are just unlucky. In the previous home match, for example, they deserved a victory over Chelsea, and in the last round they played at least a draw with Burnley. Team of Warnack does not give up, and a visit to Brighton for them is like a final. The hosts won’t go down easily. It is important to understand that Cardiff is unbeatable in head-to-heads with neighbors in the table. 6 matches - 4 wins and 2 draws.
It is difficult to consider the previous head-to-head of these teams, since Cardiff won (2: 1), but Brighton played with ten players from the 34th minute. In any case, I state the fact of the complete statistical superiority of Warnock's wards - 20: 7 strikes, 6: 3 on the target, 61:39 possession, 4: 1 corners. Stylistically, it was a typical British match, in which the ball rarely descended to the ground, and the players made 69 air tackles in total (a lot, even by the standards of the Premier League). In other words, Brighton vs. Cardiff are typical 50 on 50. Teams of similar class and style, playing simply and without frills. The home stands did not help the seagulls in games against Southampton (0: 1) and Fulham (2: 2), and Cardiff was not prevented from visiting Huddersfield (0: 0) and the same Southampton (1: 2). I am convinced that the probability of guest success is underestimated, despite the mediocre exit results of the Welsh. Having played no worse than last Saturday, Cardiff can at least not lose in Brighton.
Prediction for the match: Cardiff City to win with +0.5 handicap.