Bayer Leverkusen hosts Lokomotiv Moscow in round 1 of the Champions League group stage. The match will be played on Wednesday, September 18th at BayArena (Leverkusen)
Nothing is new for Bayer at the start of the season. The team goes in the top 5 of the national championship and is considered to be a fairly strong middle-class team of German football, with a good offensive character. In the last season, the team hammered 69 goals in the Bundesliga and became the fourth team in terms of scoring. The start of the new season is also hot. Peter Bosz’s men are good at attacking and score two goals per match on average at the start of the season! As a result, they earned 7 points out of 9 possible. The team is in order, and given that there are Atletico and Juventus (besides weak Lokomotiv) in this quartet, the German team has no right to be stupid. It must take three points calmly to fight for the top 2 in the group! At least third place is guaranteed for Bayer, as the group has Lokomotiv which will naturally be the fourth. So, the Germans need to fight and try not to let one of the grandees into the 1/8 finals.
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It is safe to say that Lokomotiv simply takes someone's place in this tournament. Such a poor game can bear fruit only in the championship of Russia - the team somehow finished in second place... After that, it is worth thinking about the strength of the championship. I think that few neutral readers will argue with the fact that Lokomotiv is walking luck of the championship. A bunch of incidental victories brings a bunch of points. But it does not work in the European Cup arena! And you can remember the last season when Lokomotiv was frankly the most pitiable out of 32 Champions League teams. It showed just an incomprehensible game. And then they were lucky with the group, where there was not a single serious and powerful opponent. The Moscow team certainly did not become stronger compared to last season.
There’s nothing special to think about. If you want a confident bet on this match for not the biggest coefficient, you need to take a -1 handicap of Bayer or Over 1.5 goals of the Germans. If you want to take a chance, you can try to take something like a -2.5 handicap -2.5 of Bayer. But I chose a -1 handicap. This option looks extremely confident!
Prediction for the match: Bayer Leverkusen to win with -1.0 handicap