Barnet welcome the visitors Harrogate Town in the English National League. The match will be held on Tuesday, March, 19th, at the Hive Stadium (London).
Those who hoped for Barnet’s quick comeback to the League Two are disappointed. The team did not only fail to compete well in the 5th English division, they are even at jeopardy of leaving the National League. The hosts on the day presently sit only 4 points off the drop zone, while they host the league’s best outfit in 5 recent fixtures. Well, the only consolation for Barnet is that they have 3 spare rounds to play. Last encounter, they had a bad luck – the team ended level against Halifax Town, 1:1, but could attain 3 points, as they were ahead by xG (+2.07). Barnet fashioned many opportunities and did not allow the opponents do much near their goal. Still, Barnet’s survival rivals in no way can be compared to the visitors Harrogate Town who sit 24 points above the Londoners.
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Over the span of 7 years, Harrogate developed into the team that progressed from the Vanarama National League North last year and claim to advance to the League Two in their debutant campaign. The London side will try to find ways to win, though providing a challenge to the travelers will not be easy.
One of the toughest Barnet’s concerns this season is their home performance. The side’s home record is fourth-worst in the division. At the Hive Stadium, they dropped more points than they gained on the road, having missed more goals than they made (19:23). Barnet’s home matches history against top-ten sides suggests a sole win (1-1-5) and 5 defeats. Given their average xGA of 1.14, the guests will hardly feature a thumping, while the hosts will themselves struggle to upset Harrogate. With an xG of 1.27 per match, Barnet count 1.12 goal per round on average, whereas Harrogate are strong in the attack. The visitors are best division’s scorers (69 goals netted), and they make 1.78 goal per outing on average. An away xG of 1.58 is a good record. Most importantly, Harrogate attack better than the hosts defend. Their away goal difference is +0.56.
The side travel to London on the run of 3 consecutive wins out. The trip to Braintree Town (0:4) is not the best case in point, but the visitors’ chances for success are high. In 5 recent matches, Harrogate scored 8 goals and allowed 1. The team played 2 rounds less than the third-placed Wrexham did and yield them 6 points, which is 2 wins. Thus, the positive outcome in the coming outing is crucial. The guests, sitting 2nd in the aggregate xG table, are very likely to win. At home, Harrogate were victors against Barnet (2:0), and their present form is impressive.
Prediction for the match: Harrogate Town to win with a 0.0 handicap.