Arsenal Tula hosts Tambov in round 28 of the Russian Premier League. The match will be played on Saturday, July 11th at Stadion Arsenal (Tula)
After quarantine, Arsenal continued what it had begun before it. That is, to lose to everyone. The Samovars suffered six defeats in the last seven matches of the championship, which pushed them to 10th place. Only one point separates them from play-out matches, and three points from direct relegation. At least two goals were scored in five last matches of Arsenal, and four games recorded even more. In general, the team’s goal difference after 27 rounds is 32-39. After such results, the leadership of the Tula team fired Cherevnichenko from the post of the head coach and invited Novikov to this position. The first match under his leadership ended in victory over Dynamo Moscow, but everything clicked into place in the last one. And the penultimate Krylya Sovetov scored four goals to the Samovars’ net, having conceded only two in response.
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Tambov is 14th in the standings, and this means play-out games for survival. However, there are only two points to the 12th line, exempting from all subsequent obligations to maintain a place in the league. Like the upcoming rival, the Wolves showed very bad results in the championship after a pause. Four losses in five matches. And all these five games ended with Over 2.5 goals scored.
Statistics of head-to-head meetings are against the proposed outcome. The team held three matches, and all of them ended with a 1-0 score. But judging by the current situation and the scoring of the teams at this time, this “dry streak” should be interrupted in the upcoming meeting. Arsenal played with Over 2.5 goals scored in six of nine last matches of the tournament. Tambov did it in the last six rounds in a row. Both teams need points like air. Currently, these teams play wide-open football. They concede from everyone in a row, and the hosts often concede more than one goal. But after quarantine, they scored in response in almost every match. A head-to-head meeting is unlikely to be an exception. Still, I will stop on the option with over two goals scored.
Prediction for the match: Over 2.0 goals scored
