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AC Milan vs Roma Prediction 28 June 2020

AC Milan vs Roma Prediction 28 June 2020

AC Milan hosts Roma in round 28 of Italian Serie A. The match will be played on Sunday, June 28th at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

Let's start with the goal of the hosts. The men of Pioli have a serious shortage of goals scored on their pitch: they scored 13 times but should have scored about 20 (xG - 20.45). Beyond that, Milan finally reorganized to the 4-2-3-1 scheme due to the loss of Ibrahimovic (earlier, the team often used 4-4-2), it tries to combine more, and the presence of strong creatives in the person of Chalhanoglu, Castillejo and Bonaventure only contributes to this. In their first Serie A match after a break, the Rossoneri confidently beat Lecce and scored four goals. Roma, in turn, cannot boast of stability in defense, conceding an average of one goal on the road (16 goals in 13 games with xGA 17.68).

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As for the goal scored by the visitors, it is necessary to proceed from the fact that the style of Roma’s game is based primarily on high-quality attacking actions with the use of the tactical scheme 4-2-3-1. The team scores quite a lot (53 goals in 27 matches – the fourth result in Serie A). In particular, the Romans score an average of about two goals on the road (25 goals in 13 meetings with xG of about 23). The capital team scored in most games with the top clubs of the league.

Milan concedes quite a lot on its pitch (15 goals in 13 meetings with xGA of about 17). This is largely due to the lack of a competent transition from attack to defense. Therefore, Red-Black’s rivals have a lot of room for maneuvers. In addition, Milan conceded in all games with top league clubs (with Inter 0:2 and 2:4, Roma 1:2, Lazio 1:2, Juventus 0:1, Napoli 1:1 and Atalanta 0:5). Finally, the weather will also be favorable for productive football. On Sunday evening, neither rain nor strong winds are expected in Milan.

Prediction for the match: Both teams to score - yes

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Dylan McLaughlin
Football tipster