In their last home game Deportivo suffered humiliating 0:8 loss to Barcelona. Obviously La Coruna’s side are out of shape. Surely they were beaten by monstrous Barca, but they also lost to Las Palmas at home prior to that. In fact, Depor won only one of their last 19 La Liga matches.
Currently the hosts are one of the poorest sides in the entire league. They lack motivation and there will be probably nothing changed as there are only 3 games left. They are unlikely to suddenly improve their performance 2 weeks prior the end.
This way it’s even more surprising to see Deportivo as favorite according to the bookies. Especially against striving Getafe. The latter are in the relegation zone, however, they can survive, as they are only one points behind 17th spot and have quite easy calendar (Deportivo, Sporting and Betis). They have already beaten Real Sociedad and tied Valencia. On top of that, they scored 4 goals in those games.
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Notably, Deportivo failed to win their last 8 head-to-heads against Getafe (0-3-5). We should also mention the hosts’ squad problems. They still cannot count on starting keeper Lux, while Navarro, Luisinho and Luis Alberto are questionable.
Surely, the hosts are more skillful and they play at home. But we could see the same situation in their recent home games against Las Palmas, Granada, Betis and Rayo Vallecano, but Victor Sanchez’ side earned only 2 points out of 12. Remarkably, bookies offered similar odds on their victory. Getafe in turn managed to steal points from Valencia, Sevilla and Real Sociedad.
It seems motivation is the key factor here. Getafe are in desperate need of victory, while Deportivo are just waiting for season to end.
Prediction: Getafe to win with +0.5 Asian handicap.